Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 4.622958e-05 0.000054 0.000062 0.000072 0.000083 0.000094 0.000107
2025-01-12 3.458650e-05 0.000044 0.000056 0.000069 0.000085 0.000103 0.000124
2025-01-19 2.635399e-05 0.000037 0.000050 0.000066 0.000086 0.000109 0.000137
2025-01-26 2.095032e-05 0.000032 0.000046 0.000064 0.000087 0.000115 0.000150
2025-02-02 1.868247e-05 0.000030 0.000046 0.000067 0.000094 0.000128 0.000171
2025-02-09 1.599280e-05 0.000028 0.000044 0.000067 0.000098 0.000136 0.000187
2025-02-16 1.543105e-05 0.000028 0.000046 0.000072 0.000108 0.000153 0.000214
2025-02-23 1.364860e-05 0.000026 0.000045 0.000073 0.000112 0.000163 0.000232
2025-03-02 1.072875e-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000069 0.000109 0.000162 0.000236
2025-03-09 8.698080e-06 0.000020 0.000038 0.000066 0.000108 0.000164 0.000244
2025-03-16 7.182407e-06 0.000018 0.000035 0.000064 0.000108 0.000168 0.000253
2025-03-23 6.041605e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000063 0.000109 0.000172 0.000263
2025-03-30 4.652769e-06 0.000014 0.000031 0.000062 0.000110 0.000178 0.000278
2025-04-06 3.419568e-06 0.000012 0.000028 0.000059 0.000109 0.000182 0.000291
2025-04-13 2.401984e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000056 0.000108 0.000184 0.000300
2025-04-20 1.735879e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000054 0.000108 0.000189 0.000314
2025-04-27 1.515810e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000057 0.000115 0.000204 0.000342
2025-05-04 1.190039e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000057 0.000118 0.000214 0.000363
2025-05-11 1.166280e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000062 0.000130 0.000236 0.000402
2025-05-18 9.449212e-07 0.000007 0.000024 0.000063 0.000134 0.000247 0.000427
2025-05-25 5.844770e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000059 0.000130 0.000245 0.000431
2025-06-01 3.724479e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000057 0.000129 0.000247 0.000441
2025-06-08 2.387438e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000055 0.000128 0.000251 0.000453